Favorites stage 6 Tour de France 2022 | Longest stage of the Tour: Van Aert or refugees?

After the hectic cobblestone ride on Wednesday, it’s time for another stunner of a stage on Thursday. The peloton will start in Binche, Belgium, to finish 220 kilometers later in the hills around Longwy. In the leader’s jersey brook the stage in detail!

Route stage 6 Tour de France 2022

So we will start in Belgium, where the peloton will leave Binche at 12.15 pm. Special for Intermarché-Wanty-Gobert, as this is the home base of that team. They don’t have a real contender for the stage victory, so it is likely that we will see them in one of the first escape attempts of the day.

It is the longest stage of the Tour, so it could turn out to be a good seat for the riders and TV viewers. In the first 150 kilometers there are few obstacles, except for the Côte des Mazures and an intermediate sprint in Carignan. After that it starts to get a bit more sloping, but the devil is clearly in the tail of this ride.

The last twenty kilometers are more like the Ardennes or the Limburg hills, with the Cote de Montigny as a starter, the very steep Cote de Pulventeux (800 meters at 12.3%) as an aperitif and the final climb to Longwy (1.6 kilometers at 5.8%) as an absolute main course.

The steep climb of Pulventeux.

A few years ago we also finished in Longwy. At the time, Peter Sagan won ahead of Greg van Avermaet, but then the Pulventeux climb was not included in the course. This will likely cause more selection this year and that also mortgages the chances for the sprinting punchers, in favor of the specialists. In addition, it is a very technical final, so that attacking the penultimate climb can pay off.

Favorites stage 6 Tour de France 2022 |  Longest stage of the Tour: Van Aert or refugees?

An explanation of the absolute final phase.

Start: 12.15 pm
Finish: around 5.29 pm

Weather stage 6 Tour de France 2022

The temperatures are just above 20 degrees Celsius and can therefore be called pleasant in the area of ​​Longwy, which is close to the Belgian and Luxembourg borders. However, the wind can play a role: it blows quite strongly on the head, both on the penultimate and last climb of the day. This is normally not good news for the opportunists.

Favorites stage 6 Tour de France 2022

Based on his performance so far in this Tour de France and in particular his outburst in the stage to Calais, we place Wout van Aert as top favorite for this stage. The Belgian must be able to handle that cunning final climb easily and has the advantage – compared to the other sprinters – that the Pentuleux climb precedes it, where the legs of the fast men will be cut off.

Van Aert seems lonely at the top on an arrival like this and may have the most to fear from INEOS Grenadiers with Tom Pidcock and Geraint Thomas of BORA-hansgrohe with Maximilian Schachmann and Aleksandr Vlasov† Also Tadej Pogacar and David Gaudu can sprint as classification riders.

However, the big question is: will Jumbo-Visma check in this longest stage of the Tour de France and if so, who will help them? The answers to those two questions are ‘probably not’ and ‘probably nobody’, so it might be smart to look at the men before the early flight.

Favorites stage 6 Tour de France 2022 |  Longest stage of the Tour: Van Aert or refugees?
Who will help the yellow jersey team?

We’ll have to do a little name dropping just do Ruben Guerreiro for example, after a fall on day two in the cobblestone stage, he showed that he is well again. The Portuguese may be able to cycle back in the standings in a stage like this. His teammates Magnus Cort and Neilson Powless showed on Wednesday how (not) to do that.

Say your longest day of the Tour, then you will recover quickly Matej Mohoric from. Bahrain Victorious’s mile-eater already announced before the Tour that he would like to show himself in this sixth stage. The same goes for teammates such as Fred Wright and Dylan Teuns, with whom Bahrain Victorious can make up for the loss of Jack Haig with a victory.

Sorry Mathieu van der Poel, we are being cruel: after your comments after Wednesday’s stage, we will no longer place you among the favorites for this stage, as much as we would love to. Another Dutchman does find his place: Bauke Mollema loves these finals and can give Trek-Segafredo a stage win here. Jasper Stuyven and Quinn Simmons may also be able to go far on behalf of that team.

Favorites stage 6 Tour de France 2022 |  Longest stage of the Tour: Van Aert or refugees?
Bauke Mollema

Other men we note for a flight are those of the Belgian teams. Tim Wellens and Andreas Kron must be able to handle this on behalf of Lotto SoudalAndrea Bagioli and Mikkel Honoré on behalf of Quick Step, Sven Erik Bystrom and Georg Zimmermann of Intermarché and Alpecin-Deceuninck with, for example, Kristian Sbaragli (or Van der Poel anyway).

Other contenders in this extensive list are – whether or not via a flight – Michael Matthews (BikeExchange), Hugo Houle (Israel-Premier Tech), Alexis Vuillermoz (TotalEnergies), Valentin Madouas (Groupama-FDJ), Benjamin Thomas, Victor Lafay (Cofidis), Matteo Jorgenson (Movistar), Benoit Cosnefroy (AG2R Citroën) and Franck Bonnamour (B&B).

Odds stage 6 Tour de France 2022

Wout van Aert – Bet365: 4.50 / Jacks: 5.00
Tadej Pogacar – Bet365: 11.00 / Jacks: 10.00
Mathieu van der Poel – Bet365: 13.00 / Jacks: 13.00
Matej Mohoric – Bet365: 13.00 / Jacks: 15.00
Michael Matthews – Bet365: 17.00 / Jacks: 17.00

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Readers’ favorites stage 6 Tour de France 2022

Tom van der Salm (Twitter: @TomvanderSalm) | e-mail: t.vandersalm@indeleidersrui.nl)